St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund - Predictions and Betting Tips in the Bundesliga

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St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund - Predictions and Betting Tips in the Bundesliga
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On Saturday, the 23rd of August 2025, the match between St. Pauli and Borussia Dortmund will take place at the Millerntor Stadion at 17:30. This is from matchday 1 in the Bundesliga, and this is our betting information, forecast, and prediction.

St. Pauli struggled last season in the Bundesliga as they finished in 14th position with 32 points. They only won 3 home matches throughout the season. Borussia Dortmund finished the season in 4th position, winning 17 of their 34 league matches. 

St. Pauli

St. Pauli only won 8 matches last season, with only 3 wins from their home matches. They averaged a goal against in every game, with a stat of 1.21 per game. As for their scoring stats, it was 0.81 per game. 

Borussia Dortmund

Dortmund managed to win only 6 of their 17 away matches last season, picking up most of their points at home. St. Pauli was a team they managed to beat away from home last season. Dortmund had scoring stats of 2.09 per game, which makes them the high scorers. 

Team News 

St. Pauli is expected to have Jackson Irvine back from a broken ankle in mid-August, so he may make it for this match. Also, Karol Mets is fighting to be fit following his injury from last season. Dortmund will be without Julien Duranville as he has a dislocated shoulder, and Nico Schlotterbeck. 

St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Betting Odds

Dortmund are the favorites to take 3 points at St. Pauli as they have proven they are more consistent than St. Pauli over the last few seasons. Betting odds according to Megapari are:

  • St. Pauli to win 4.5
  • Draw 4.11
  • Borussia Dortmund to win 1.7

St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head Statistics 

Over the last 8 meetings between these teams, Dortmund have come out winners 7 times, with St. Pauli winning once. The last time St. Pauli won at home against Dortmund was in 2022 in the German Cup. 

St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Betting Trends

  • In the Bundesliga, Dortmund won both matches last season, scoring 2 goals in both matches.
  • St. Pauli only won 3 matches at home last season, losing 9 matches. 
  • St. Pauli conceded 19 goals at home, and GGBet is offering odds of 2.26 for Dortmund to score 2 goals or more. 

St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund: Prediction

Our prediction for the match: Dortmund to win by at least 2 goals with Megapari odds of 4.3. Dortmund’s experience in the Bundesliga should be too much for St Pauli who have only completed their 2nd season in the top league in 13 years. An away win is likely.